According to the IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook, Bangladesh's per capita GDP is estimated to surpass India's in 2026. In 2023 and 2024, Bangladesh led India in terms of per capita GDP.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted a shift in economic standing between India and Bangladesh, with Bangladesh's per capita gross domestic product (GDP) projected to exceed that of India in 2026. The IMF's October 13, 2026 World Economic Outlook report estimates Bangladesh's per capita GDP at current prices to be $2,886 compared to India’s $2,749.
Per capita GDP is a measure of a country's economic output per person and is calculated by dividing the country's gross domestic product by its population. The average per capita GDP in emerging markets and developing economies is about $7,746, while the global average is approximately $15,889.
According to the data from the April 14 report, in 2023 and 2024, Bangladesh led India with a per capita GDP of $2,911 compared to India’s $2,812. However, in 2025, India's per capita GDP marginally surpassed Bangladesh's at $2,675 against $2,635.
The World Economic Outlook is a regular survey that analyses the global economy and makes projections for the near and medium terms.
Source:
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